Socionomics Foundation - Advancing the Science of Social Prediction Socionomics Foundation - Advancing the Science of Social Prediction

What is Socionomics?

Socionomics is a new theory of social causality that offers fresh insights into collective human behavior. Over twenty years of empirical research demonstrates that social actions are not causal to changes in social mood, but rather changes in social mood motivate changes in social action. Socionomics supports this research with the hypothesis that humans' unconscious impulses to herd lead to the emergence of social mood trends, which in turn shape the tone and character of social action. This perspective applies across all realms of social activity, including economic, financial, political and cultural.

Below are a few examples of the difference in causal perspective between socionomics and conventional theories:

Standard View
Socionomic View
Recession causes businessmen to be cautious.
Cautious businessmen cause recession.
Talented leaders make the population happy.
A happy population makes leaders appear talented.
A rising stock market makes people increasingly optimistic.
Increasingly optimistic people make the stock market rise.
Scandals make people outraged.
Outraged people seek out scandals.
War makes people fearful and angry.
Fearful and angry people make war.
Happy music makes people smile.
People who want to smile choose happy music.

Nuclear bomb testing makes people nervous.

Nervous people test nuclear bombs.

Socionomics challenges the rational choice model of human social behavior that underlies the standard social science model. Instead, it postulates a model of endogenous generation of social mood trends, which in turn motivate social actions, producing events that make history.

Socionomics holds immense promise for social scientists and delivers more useful predictions than conventional theories in fields such as economics, sociology and political science.

To continue reading about this exciting new theory in the social sciences, click here.

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News & Upcoming Events

Journal of Behavioral Finance Publishes Paper by Prechter & Parker
The Journal of Behavioral Finance has published a paper by Robert R. Prechter, Jr., Executive Director of the Socionomics Institute, and Wayne D. Parker, Ph.D., Executive Director of the Socionomics Foundation. For more information, click here.

Air Force Major Writes About Socionomics
Read Maj. Tyson Hummel's master's thesis from the Air Command and Staff College, Air University, Maxwell Air Force Base. See it here.

Journal of Behavioral Finance Publishes Olson Paper
The Journal of Behavioral Finance has published paper, “A Literature Review of Social Mood,” by Kenneth Olson, Ph.D., a professor of Psychology at Fort Hayes State University (Kansas). You can read the paper’s abstract here.

More News & Events …

 

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